Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.000261 0.000292 0.000325 0.000363 0.000406 0.000452 0.000505
2025-04-13 0.000217 0.000259 0.000306 0.000364 0.000433 0.000512 0.000611
2025-04-20 0.000183 0.000230 0.000287 0.000360 0.000452 0.000562 0.000707
2025-04-27 0.000163 0.000216 0.000282 0.000371 0.000488 0.000636 0.000838
2025-05-04 0.000146 0.000202 0.000275 0.000377 0.000516 0.000701 0.000963
2025-05-11 0.000132 0.000189 0.000267 0.000380 0.000542 0.000762 0.001088
2025-05-18 0.000118 0.000175 0.000256 0.000378 0.000557 0.000811 0.001199
2025-05-25 0.000108 0.000166 0.000251 0.000382 0.000582 0.000874 0.001335
2025-06-01 0.000098 0.000155 0.000241 0.000378 0.000594 0.000918 0.001444
2025-06-08 0.000089 0.000146 0.000233 0.000377 0.000609 0.000968 0.001566
2025-06-15 0.000083 0.000139 0.000228 0.000379 0.000628 0.001023 0.001700
2025-06-22 0.000076 0.000131 0.000221 0.000376 0.000639 0.001067 0.001819
2025-06-29 0.000071 0.000126 0.000217 0.000379 0.000662 0.001135 0.001985
2025-07-06 0.000066 0.000120 0.000212 0.000381 0.000682 0.001198 0.002150
2025-07-13 0.000060 0.000113 0.000204 0.000376 0.000691 0.001243 0.002287
2025-07-20 0.000058 0.000111 0.000206 0.000388 0.000730 0.001343 0.002530
2025-07-27 0.000055 0.000107 0.000204 0.000394 0.000758 0.001426 0.002748
2025-08-03 0.000052 0.000104 0.000201 0.000398 0.000783 0.001504 0.002964
2025-08-10 0.000048 0.000099 0.000196 0.000395 0.000795 0.001559 0.003139
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000096 0.000194 0.000400 0.000821 0.001644 0.003380
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000091 0.000188 0.000396 0.000829 0.001694 0.003552
2025-08-31 0.000040 0.000087 0.000184 0.000395 0.000844 0.001757 0.003758
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000084 0.000181 0.000396 0.000863 0.001830 0.003991